Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.032486 0.038288 0.044315 0.051002 0.058181 0.065622 0.073888
2025-11-23 0.022009 0.030011 0.038894 0.049302 0.061000 0.073602 0.088074
2025-11-30 0.016676 0.025945 0.036836 0.050140 0.065590 0.082664 0.102688
2025-12-07 0.013155 0.023222 0.035672 0.051418 0.070175 0.091303 0.116457
2025-12-14 0.010897 0.021622 0.035497 0.053549 0.075484 0.100548 0.130716
2025-12-21 0.008613 0.019552 0.034415 0.054320 0.078976 0.107531 0.142252
2025-12-28 0.008019 0.019785 0.036242 0.058639 0.086671 0.119368 0.159334
2026-01-04 0.005693 0.016926 0.033632 0.057105 0.087077 0.122503 0.166227
2026-01-11 0.004509 0.015665 0.033070 0.058095 0.090493 0.129132 0.177128
2026-01-18 0.003386 0.014236 0.032107 0.058438 0.093013 0.134622 0.186637
2026-01-25 0.002503 0.013012 0.031310 0.058907 0.095621 0.140165 0.196163
2026-02-01 0.001753 0.011799 0.030397 0.059125 0.097838 0.145180 0.205021
2026-02-08 0.000831 0.009638 0.027823 0.057008 0.097124 0.146765 0.210016
2026-02-15 0.000269 0.007764 0.025463 0.055050 0.096539 0.148477 0.215165
2026-02-22 0.000097 0.007062 0.025070 0.055913 0.099658 0.154773 0.225841
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.006583 0.025027 0.057261 0.103404 0.161842 0.237446
2026-03-08 0.000002 0.006429 0.025586 0.059514 0.108368 0.170440 0.250916
2026-03-15 NaN 0.005859 0.025236 0.060327 0.111348 0.176519 0.261300
2026-03-22 NaN 0.006425 0.027276 0.064884 0.119469 0.189126 0.279689
2026-03-29 NaN 0.005214 0.025424 0.063267 0.119067 0.190881 0.284753
2026-04-05 NaN 0.004817 0.025274 0.064312 0.122316 0.197271 0.295500
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004284 0.024725 0.064673 0.124590 0.202398 0.304680
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003827 0.024281 0.065168 0.127028 0.207721 0.314091